Jiangsu Shuguang Energy Equipment&Tools Co., Ltd.

Gas prices are down strong expectations

2015-08-03 09:40 Source:Shuguang Oil Tools

  Market sources said, the NDRC is considering the reduction of non-residents using natural gas gate stations prices have dropped may reach 0.4 yuan / cubic meter -1.0 yuan / cubic meter.

  This year due to falling oil prices, the price of natural gas and alternative energy sources compared to the industrial, economic performance in the field of car getting lower and lower, resulting in a slowdown in the growth rate of natural gas consumption, natural gas pricing mechanism is also being questioned. In fact, the year will be a non-resident with a second adjustment of natural gas gate station prices, has basically become the consensus of the industry.

  Zhuo record information analysts QIE Jing to the "Securities Daily" correspondent said that as the April price of the selected alternative energy pricing cycle may not fully cover its prices stage, expected during the year will be a second round of price reduction. According to section calculates fuel oil and LPG prices and Reform Commission published the formula, Zhuo record information may be measured reduction from 0.4 yuan / cubic meter. However, 1.0 yuan / cubic meter price price rises too high, since the 2013 start gate price adjustment, there has never been such a large fluctuation, expected to be difficult to make the trip. Only by considering the current downstream gas market promotion unfavorable expectations reversed the market decline may have significantly lower prices.

  Zhuo record information and communication NDRC official learned that the current Development and Reform Commission announced the price of natural gas policy is not determined by the time specified, but the principle is generally six months period. February 28 announced the pricing policy dating back more than one quarter, the execution time of 1 April distance closer to the present time, the greater the likelihood of price adjustment in September.

  It is noteworthy that, recently, Goldman Sachs also will the second half of 2015 and 2016 natural gas price forecast values from the previous $ 3.3 / mmbtu and $ 3.5 / mmbtu down to $ 2.75 / mmbtu and $ 3 / mmbtu. Goldman also said: "In the power industry, natural gas prices will need to continue to compete with the price of coal."

  We need to mention that non-residents in 2013 to develop natural gas gate station price increase gas the highest price, net return value measurement Shanghai gate station according to the prevailing market price: the stock gas 2.44 yuan / cubic meter, the incremental gas 3.32 yuan / cubic meter. Other area addition and subtraction corresponding pipeline fees, and other fees to get around the gate price limit.

  Net return value is the market price of natural gas and imported fuel oil and liquefied petroleum gas linked, but so far liquefied petroleum gas prices fell about 50 percent, and imports fuel oil prices also have a 15% -20% decline.

  According to Zhuo invasive monitoring, alternative products such as compared to the relevant coal, refined oil, coke oven gas, liquefied petroleum gas, fuel oil, natural gas in the area of automotive, industrial, power generation and other basic total loss of the economy, China's natural gas use by speed slowed down significantly.

  A gas company to the "Securities Daily" told reporters that because of high prices of natural gas are now being replaced with liquefied petroleum gas and other products, the pipeline pressure.

  Meanwhile, the Development and Reform Commission recently released data show that 65.6 billion cubic meters of natural gas production in the first half, an increase of 3.8%; natural gas consumption of 90.6 billion cubic meters, an increase of 2.1%. Over the past frequently compared to nearly 20% growth this year, the significant slowdown. This is our plan to promote clean energy use is contrary. Some analysts believe that the current natural gas has basically lost the economy, which is expected to promote the national gas applications, improve their share in primary energy consumption in the idea of a basic divergence. Said gas company also said that currently the gas off-season, is also a good time gas price reform.